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How Social Cues Can Shape Public counsel Studies of the past declare that the American public is not afraid of suffering causalities in war, provided that victory is the likely outcome. That would then suggest that the true reason for many Americans supporting the war in Iraq was that they believed that victory would be swift and decisive. Polls indicate that 60% of all Americans considered that such was the case. Hoffman et ing. Believe that support being driven by possibility of victory is a flawed method of thinking. They hypothesize that instead public support for war is based on their knowledge of alternative ways of armed conflict, Such as diplomacy or sanctions. They base their hypothesis around the notion that the public tends to believe that war is an option of last resort, ### Which to be able to a recent poll, Is a belief that over 70% of the united states holds. If such is the case, many people hypothesize, Times of ardent war support must be times when the American public does not believe or know that opportunity courses of action exist. to examine this claim, Hoffman et ing. Set up an experiment to test their theory. In this play with it, They asked participants about whether they would support north america using military force to respond to a hypothetical crisis in the Middle East, and if so, How many causalities were realistic for the cause. In the control form, They made no mention about the candidate of diplomatic negotiations. The first experimental condition posed the same theoretical scenario, On top of mentioning that diplomatic negotiations may be used successfully. In the second fresh condition, objectives were asked the same question about their thoughts on the use of military force, While also being told that diplomatic discussions did not have a high chance of success. The results were identical to the hypothesis. They found that when participants were told that the use of diplomatic negotiations would triumph, They reported a lower number of casualties would be acceptable so they can support the war. however,within the other hand, The results also showed that the level of support when not being informed of diplomatic alternatives was akin to the level of support when being told that diplomatic alternatives would not be successful. These results held true seeking out hypothetical scenario presented to the participant: Whether weapons of mass destruction were a part of the process or not, Whether al Queda was a part of the process or not, Or perhaps the details of the operation itself were largely unknown or known. the question becomes, what these results mean? Hoffman et al. Made a strong case for why the war in Iraq received a substantial amount of public support: Americans did not know that ### there were diplomatic alternatives, And assumed that war was the final and only option. In terms of the future of foreign policy, These results suggest that the media could play a large role due to remarkable ability to expose these social cues. If CNN were to run a story on how to diplomatically resolve any certain conflict (think that, the specific situation in Iran) Without wearing military force, The results of this experiment claim that public support for a war could be altered dramatically. As we move toward your immediate future, And presidents become less and less autonomous with the decision of war making, We must realize the leap forward this study could be for the prospects of world peace. in the usa, it is not easy to go to war without the public's backing, And if the public is made aware of the choices of diplomatic alternatives, They are less likely to support war.
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